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Showing posts with label spread. Show all posts
Showing posts with label spread. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

My first take on one-day fantasy leagues at FanDuel.

I used FanDuel for the first time the other day after growing increasingly more irritated at losing in fantasy from the random players getting hurt or getting caught doing stupid things. I'm not thrilled at my standard fantasy football teams this year, so I'm taking my research and heading to FanDuel while hoping for waiver wire magic.

Depositing cash is easy, and done with Paypal, Visa, Mastercard, or Amex. I'm pretty sure they have a money-back guarantee if something crazy happens, and I've seen nothing but good reviews on payouts. Turns out, daily fantasy isn't the same as organized sports betting in the eyes of Uncle Sam.


After signing up with a modest amount of dough, I'm let loose into this website and felt my head start spinning:
The business end of FanDuel.
Nice, clean website with quality coding. Each page loads quickly, and the current number of entrants tends to update very quickly.

So, once you get here, it's time to join a game. There are a few different varieties of games:

50/50 - The best type in my opinion. Pick a team and take on other players to see who can pick an above-average team. If the league has 20 players, the top ten double their money (minus the rake). Simple, yet effective.

Head-to-Head - You can either pick a match-up or offer a match-up based on the sport, time and prize money. The site will then fill out most open match-ups, or you can just choose who you want to play against. User names are seen on these, so for those who want to play against 1ucror or Condia, this is the best way to get it done. Also, playing friends head to head for cash sounds freaking awesome.

Tournaments - These are the best "buy-in-to-winnings" ratio games available on FanDuel. Unfortunately, since you're playing against large amounts of players, the top 10% or so make money while the rest lose out. If you feel like you know some true sleepers, a tournament lineup with a few home run hitters could land you a lot of cash for a little bit of capital. Obviously, more losses will occur in tournaments, so mediocre teams have no chance of winning. Go big or go home in tournaments.

Winner-take-alls - Simply put, the winner takes all the money. Some winner-take-all games have five players, some ten, some a random number, but the pay-out is sweet for the winner. A winner of a $5, 10-team winner-take-all nets $45! I'd be willing to put five dollars each week on my fantasy team being the best of ten people, and it seems like a great way to have weekly fantasy with your friends instead of a year-long league. 

Double-up, Triple-up, Quadruple-ups - These are tourneys set up to allow the winners to double, triple, or quadruple their entry fees. There are more players than in 50/50 or winner-take-alls, but the payout is truly double, triple or quadruple AFTER the rake. 

All games at the low buy-in level have a 10% rake. For example, winning a $1 Head-to-Head would net you 80 cents ($1 buy-in plus $1 for victory equals $2, but with a 10% rake you get $1.80). This is obviously pretty standard in betting of all types. I find it pretty acceptable to spend a small amount to keep the website up and running in quality fashion. I've also heard the big games have a smaller rake, but I'll cross that bridge when I come to it.)

Some games take place over specific time periods, like Sunday-only NFL or late-night NBA. Most leagues are just one day, so you can do research on one day's worth of games as opposed to a full season. Forget trying to guess 16 weeks of NFL, just get one week right and you're in the money.

I started with some late-night NBA, and you're given a list of games to choose players from. Each game is salary-cap based, so you start with, say, $65k, and each player costs an amount relative to their scoring potential. High point scorers are given the highest salary, and bargains can be found when those big names are hurt. 

Obviously, you can't just play the best players in the NBA each night. Players like Kevin Durant cost around $10k, so you'll end up needing to fill out the roster with sleepers and bench players.

A line-up selection screen on FanDuel for Thanksgiving NFL games. Note the price difference between Peyton and Philip Rivers, or Jamaal Charles and Matt Forte.
After setting your lineup, you can change the lineup any time before the tournament starts. This helps you make sure that if you make a mistake, you can change it quickly and not get burned.

When you fill out a lineup, you can choose to play your lineup in other games if you think it's an ultimate team. Some users choose to play many different lineups, but I'm cool with one good one. Choosing different opponents will probably lead to a better range of results.


Rules and scoring are very similar to a "standard league" in fantasy terms. Bonuses for yardage are not included as far as I know, so the scoring is pure. The NFL scoring includes half a point per reception, so make sure to think in PPR terms. The rules and scoring page is a pretty good read, and can be seen here

So, since I've won a few and lost a few, I'm sitting on a similar bankroll to where I started. Here's hoping that with time, effort, and experience, I can turn my small victories into larger wins and begin my run to become the next Condia. Who is Condia? Just sit in the chat room for a few seconds, or click that link. Basically, Condia is the guy playing tons of games and moving a bunch of money in these sites every day. Some think he's a robot, others think he's the man, but he sure does win a lot.

If you feel like giving FanDuel a try, here's a link to sign up. Come find me (username: siderealdaze) and see if you can take my money!

Saturday, November 19, 2011

Elliott's Week 11 NFL picks vs. Vegas


Let me begin by revisiting this past week's Thursday night game and my picks for that night. I was pretty on with Tebow (16 points to my prediction of 19), Von Miller (who went for 16+ in some formats!) and Shonn Greene (even I didn't think he'd go for less than 2). However, with Willis McGahee and Plaxico, I definitely overshot their value. Oh well...can't win 'em all. Here's my picks for this week:

lines taken from Bodog.com


Tennessee at Atlanta (-7)


Matt Ryan and the rest of the Falcons play considerably better at home, and Atlanta doesn't have the holes on defense that Carolina has. Look for a solid win by the Falcons in this one.

Buffalo at Miami (pick 'em)


Anyone that knows me, knows that I love the 'Phins. I also don't expect them to win every game. This, on the other hand, IS a game I expect them to win. Miami has given up less than 20 points a game, and with Stevie Johnson not at full strength, Miami's shortcomings in the secondary won't be a problem.

Cincinnati (+7) at Baltimore

No Ray Lewis today (according to Warren Sapp) means that this game should be closer than seven points. Flacco has had 300+ yards the past two games and Dalton has been pretty much awesome this week. Seeing that most games come down to a 3 or 6 point difference, I like Cincy to keep this close enough to cover.

Jacksonville at Cleveland (-1)


The fans in Cleveland are way too pissed off to let Blaine Gabbert and the rest of the Muppets get off to a good start, and I simply think the Browns are good enough to beat the lowly Jags.

Oakland (-1) at Minnesota

The only thing stopping a revitalized Carson Palmer is another something like this. Seriously though, I hope that doesn't happen.

Carolina (+7) at Detroit

Everyone in the Carolina area knows that Cam Newton averages 5.3 yards a rush, right? Or that besides last week, he has had a passer rating over 115 the previous two weeks? Never mind his knack for keeping the game close (and covering the spread), I'm taking the Panthers to win today. Yes, I drafted Cam.

Tampa Bay at Green Bay (-14.5)


Huge line? Have you seen Green Bay play at home this year? Discount double check.

Dallas at Washington (-8)


When I was trying to score a not-awful defense to play in a league this week, I had the choice between Miami and Washington. Both teams have given up 20 points less than other terrible options, and the only reason they both have terrible records is turnover margin. I'm hoping the Romocoaster is on its' way down this week...because he was freaking perfect when I sat him last time.

Arizona at San Francisco (-10)


Coach Harbaugh might be smart enough to place a bet, win the game, and cover the spread, all without shaking anyone's hand too hard.

Seattle (+3) at St. Louis

Is this right? I thought St. Louis was the second-worst team in the NFL? Also, they are giving points to Seattle and BEAST MODE? This guy has been the quintessential sleeper this year.

Philadelphia at NY GIANTS (-4.5) no line from Bodog.com- taken from BetOnline


Giants' only offensive weakness is at RB, and Philly has a linebacking group that might not be able to start for LSU this year (seriously). With the "Best Manning Playing" on their side, and an injury to Philly's Jeremy Maclin, the Giants roll in this one. Expect some really pissed-off Philly fans.


Check back for results of my picks and views on the Monday night game tomorrow!

Hit me @2911music on twitter for last minute sit/start questions!